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PHIA:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMKoninklijke Philips N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

€22.57

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Philips shares are trading at €22.57, which sits below the 20‑day SMA of 22.86 and the 50‑day SMA of 23.60, indicating a short‑term price weakness. The 14‑day RSI of 44.9 suggests momentum is neutral, while the MACD histogram remains negative, confirming a bearish technical bias. Volume is trending upward, supporting the recent price decline toward the identified support level of €21.44. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at roughly 32%, and the stock’s beta of 0.36 points to limited correlation with broader market moves. Despite these pressures, the dividend yield of 3.8% and a payout ratio of 85% provide attractive income, and free cash flow of €1.5 bn remains robust.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 4.7% revenue contraction and thin operating margin of 6.2%, yet the forward EPS of €1.71 and a forward P/E of 13.2 signal earnings improvement ahead. The DCF‑derived fair value of €14.9 is well below the current price, implying the market is pricing in growth expectations that may be optimistic. With a solid ROE of 8.4% and a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 71%, the balance sheet is manageable, especially given the strong cash position of €2.6 bn. Analysts’ consensus remains a “Buy” with a median target of €27, suggesting upside potential if the turnaround gains traction. Investors should monitor the upcoming earnings release and any regulatory developments in the medical‑device segment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (price below SMAs, negative MACD)
  • Proximity to support level at €21.44
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings improvement (EPS 1.71, forward P/E 13.2)
  • Attractive dividend yield of 3.8% with solid cash flow
  • Analyst consensus “Buy” and median price target of €27

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for healthcare and medical‑device solutions
  • Resilient balance sheet with manageable debt and strong cash reserves
  • Sustainable dividend policy supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.70%
Profit Margin5.50%
P/E Ratio22.6
ROE8.36%
ROA3.48%
Debt/Equity70.91
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow€2.3B
Free Cash Flow€1.5B
Industry P/E27.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.9
Support€21.44
Resistance€24.92
MA 20€22.86
MA 50€23.60
MA 200€24.07
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.68

Valuation

Fair Value€14.91
Target Price€28.00
Upside/Downside24.06%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.80%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.36
Volatility31.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.